Speaker: Professor Lin Faqin (School of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University)
Host: Assistant Professor Hou Shangdi (China Institute of Economics, Liaoning University)
Guest introduction: Professor Ma Xiangjun (China Institute of Economics, Liaoning University)
Time: April 24th, 2024 (Wednesday) 10:30-12:00 (Beijing time)
Location: Conference Room, 1st Floor, Wuzhou Park, Chongshan Campus, Liaoning University
Online Venue: Tencent Meeting: 741-998-125
Language: Chinese/English
abstract：
The study examines how the Russia-Ukraine conflict's disruption of food access affected social unrest in countries that heavily rely on wheat imports from Ukraine from March 2021 to February 2023. Using a Difference-in-Differences (DID) approach, we compared nations highly dependent on Ukrainian wheat imports with those less reliant to assess causality. The results show a significant increase in internal protests, with high-dependence countries experiencing a 22.95% surge in protests post-invasion. Specifically, cost of living, food access and government dissatisfaction played a significant role in driving this increase. Moreover, it is more pronounced in poorer nations, those with weaker government stability, proximity to Ukraine, and substantial currency depreciation. These findings highlight the need to address food access issues to curb social unrest.
Introduction to the speaker:
Lin Faqin, born in Hai'an City, Jiangsu Province, holds a dual PhD in economics and is a young Changjiang Scholar from the Ministry of Education (2020-2023). He is a professor and doctoral supervisor at the School of Economics and Management of China Agricultural University, as well as the director of the International Trade Research Center for Agricultural Products. He serves as the deputy editor in chief of China Economic Review and special issue editor in chief. He has published over a hundred articles in JIE, JDE, EER, JEBO, JCE, Economic Research, and Management World, among others. He is also the chief expert of major social science projects and the chief expert of international cooperation key projects of the Natural Science Foundation of China. After the completion of his scientific projects, he has been evaluated and recognized as "excellent", and his research report has been approved by national leaders.
